I think it’s a bit complicate than that from core gamers, as there are a couple GOTY(steam, whatever JG runs, websites), and if we are talking about what JG runs, then it’s a mix of popular vote and judge.(if anything like Oscar, they send vote to industry veterans that are member of the “society”.)
For example, I haven’t played the bottom 3 in the list simply because that’s not my type of game. I am still holding on Alan Wake 2 until the initial hype settles a bit cause the control hype got me and I actually don’t like it that much(story lore is fun, but the loot drop part are not.) I might give armored core 6 a try once it’s on sale.
I did a quick trend search, I think BG3 should take the cake.(cause it come later and “lasting” better)
Zelda from peak 68-35-20-10(per month gap)
BG3 from peak 78-48-27(we don’t have mid Nov number yet, but it should hover around 20)