This will very possibly drive a Biden victory as well as a Gallego (D) for senate victory. Polling is tight right now, but post-Dobbs putting abortion on the ballot has not only served to secure abortion rights but has caused multiple upsets. Polls are based on expected turnout based on historical analysis, and abortion is an important enough subject that it causes a deviation from historical behaviors.
Also, it should count as flipping the seat since Sinema isn’t a Democrat.
I don’t see how abortion can be anything other than the single most important deciding factor of this election, taking a background seat to the fact that Americans don’t want a fascist takeover. But they’re closely related issues of course.
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