House Overview: Six Months Out, Fight for Control Remains a Game of Inches

“Over the past year and a half, the House has been dominated by GOP infighting, leadership upheaval, and unsurprisingly, little to show in terms of legislation — partially a function of Republicans’ miniscule majority. And six months out, it makes sense that many Democrats are more bullish about their chances of taking back the House majority than retaining the Senate or White House.”

“Democrats need a net gain of just four seats to reach the 218 necessary for a majority. According to our individual race ratings, Republicans have a slight edge overall, but it’s not much of one. Democrats are favored in 203 House races, and Republicans are favored in 210 races, leaving both parties short of 218.”

“That means control of the House in 2025 will come down to a few dozen seats, where even marginal changes in the political environment could tip the scales for either party. The 22 true Toss Ups — currently divided evenly between 11 Democratic-held seats and 11 Republican-held seats — are concentrated in a handful of states.”

disguy_ovahea,

This is largely due to low turnout for congressional elections that do not correlate with the presidential election. Make note of your state’s election date, inform others in your state, and vote so the nation isn’t dictated by the retirees that never miss an election.

ballotpedia.org/Congressional_elections_calendar

itsonlygeorge,

Remember when politicians from both parties worked together to pass bills together instead of opposing every bill and fighting for slim majorities and procedural blocks? Pepperidge Farm remembers.

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