ArbitraryValue

@ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works

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ArbitraryValue,

…and why do kids these days say ooh-wooh?

ArbitraryValue, (edited )

Apparently the court system has to make decisions regarding this case without knowing the medical justification for euthanasia.

Her father believes his daughter is generally healthy, and his lawyer previously argued in court that any physical symptoms she presents are a result of psychological conditions.

I wonder if she has treatment-resistant anorexia. I have read somewhere about people with that diagnosis seeking euthanasia.

ArbitraryValue,

buying bottled water

perfectly good pond in background

ArbitraryValue,

I also responded, “So, you are saying that property rights have priority over human rights?”

In this vein, I enter another definition of “trespassing” as “an unlawful act committed on the person, property, or rights of another.”

When university presidents and chancellors call in campus or municipal police officers to dismantle peaceful tent encampments and arrest demonstrators, they commit trespass against “the person” and their First Amendment right to “freedom of speech, the press, assembly, and the right to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”

Not quite at the Sovereign Citizen level of legal misunderstand but getting there…

ArbitraryValue, (edited )

Democracy works well when people have similar general goals and just disagree about how to accomplish them. It doesn’t work well when people have opposing goals. Thus I have a lot of sympathy for these people even though I disagree with their politics. Why should they have to follow the rules set by culturally dissimilar coastal cities far away rather than the rules set by much more similar and much closer Idaho?

If I could remake the US government from scratch, I think I might create something like the self-governing cities of medieval Europe. The Democratic/Republican divide is largely an urban/rural one, and this way both the urban and the rural areas would have the local governments and the representatives that the majority wanted. Real-world state lines do a poor job of demarcating regions where most of the people have similar values. A better system is possible, but in practice there’s too much inertia to make such large changes.

ArbitraryValue,

The same thing that already happens to most of them now, I suppose: their basic rights are protected by the Constitution but if they want to live in a community that welcomes them then they might need to move. In the specific situation this article is about, the queer people in eastern Oregon would have to deal with the same issues that the queer people in Idaho already deal with.

In general, I sympathize with the desire to rescue people from the customs of their community, but I don’t think that doing so by imposing our customs on their community is a good idea except in the most extreme cases. It violates the golden rule: I wouldn’t want outsiders imposing their customs on me, even if someone in my community was being mistreated according to the customs of those outsiders. It also doesn’t seem to work very well in practice. It has failed in extreme cases like the US occupation of Afghanistan and Iraq, and I fear that it is currently failing in the USA.

ArbitraryValue,

There are already solid-red states with no blue urban areas. I suppose it’s technically true that people die in these states (all humans are mortal) but the implication that everyone there except rich landowners is likely to die prematurely is ridiculous.

ArbitraryValue,

“I had no involvement whatsoever in the flying of the flag,” Justice Alito said in an emailed statement to The Times. “It was briefly placed by Mrs. Alito in response to a neighbor’s use of objectionable and personally insulting language on yard signs.”

Another Supreme Court wife causing trouble, eh?

ArbitraryValue,

I assume the genie’s rule is “if I help you, I help him twice as much” rather than simply “I do to him twice as much of exactly the same thing I did to you” because otherwise it’s way too easy to kill the other guy while helping yourself.

ArbitraryValue,

over 2/3 being civilians by their own count

People often bring this up without noting that such a ratio would not be unusual in urban warfare against a well-prepared enemy even when the attacking army is doing what it reasonably can to reduce civilian casualties. Compare it to Mariupol, an example of what happens of the attacking army is unconcerned about civilian casualties: 25/26 of Ukrainians killed were civilians according to Ukrainian estimates. (8/9 were civilians if we use the Ukrainian numbers for how many of their soldiers were killed but the more conservative Human Rights Watch numbers for civilian deaths.)

ArbitraryValue, (edited )

If you trust the casualty numbers that the UN Is using, then they imply approximately 3.7 civilians killed for every combatant (with the assumptions that children make up half the population and that children are never combatants). I don’t trust those numbers but I admit that if I did, I would think they didn’t look good for Israel. I suppose we’ll have a better idea of what the truth is years from now when historians reach a consensus, but until then I’m going to reluctantly trust Biden’s judgement because the US government probably has secret information unavailable to the public. (Biden is biased by his need to be re-elected, but I don’t get reports from the CIA so that’s the best I can do.)

As for justification: Israel should make reasonable efforts to minimize civilian casualties while accomplishing its legitimate military objectives, but Israel should not sacrifice its ability to accomplish those objectives in order to protect civilians. In other words, Hamas doesn’t get to hold Palestinian civilians as hostages against Israel. If they try, then they are to blame for the resulting civilian casualties. The alternative is simply unworkable in practice, because the ability of Hamas to put Palestinian civilians at risk is almost total.

ArbitraryValue, (edited )

If you present me with a trolley problem in which the only way to destroy Hamas also kills a million children, I won’t know what the right answer is. I suppose it would depend on what would happen to Israel if Hamas wasn’t destroyed.

However, the moral calculus for nations is not the same as it is for individuals. The standard established the last time the Western world fought a war it took seriously does seem to be “as many as it takes” and I suspect that this would still be the standard if such a war happened again. (All those nuclear missiles we have ready aren’t precise weapons…) In that context, demanding that Israel should show restraint that other countries haven’t and wouldn’t seems like hypocrisy.

ArbitraryValue,

It’s easy to act self-righteous when that has no consequences, but in practice most people on this planet live in countries (including democratic countries) that probably would actually kill the children in an analogous scenario.

ArbitraryValue,

Is it one of those kids’ cartoons that are still good if you rewatch them as an adult?

ArbitraryValue,

“If you’re so smart, why aren’t you rich?” I know I sound like a jerk here, but I expect someone with the ability to be an effective politician to have the ability to reach the upper middle class, generally by becoming a lawyer, even if starting with nothing.

ArbitraryValue,

That’s simply not true for the upper middle class - look at the statistics for Chinese immigrants. They start out much poorer than the average native-born American but they quickly end up earning significantly more than the average native-born American does. Plenty of them go from poverty to the upper middle class in one or two generations.

ArbitraryValue,

You make a good point. In my experience, American society is a meritocracy - my family started out with almost nothing and now we’re upper-middle-class. I know plenty of other people with a similar experience; this experience is one reason why so many immigrants want to come to the USA. However, it’s clear that my experience isn’t universal. I don’t identify with the many people here who don’t think we’re living in a meritocracy, and I don’t identify with people in generational poverty despite having experienced poverty myself. I admit I don’t understand the former group (are we living in the same country?) and my understanding of the latter group is only academic. I can see why people in these groups wouldn’t want a representative with a life experience like mine.

ArbitraryValue,

I’m still angry about that. We have the eight Justices of the Supreme Court and Neil Gorsuch, IMO.

ArbitraryValue, (edited )

I didn’t like the 3D Fallouts but I had fond memories of the original two, so I tried to replay Fallout 2 a few years ago. The writing is great but the gameplay has not aged well. Combat is simply tedious, especially against many enemies at once. You have to wait for them to slowly take their turns one by one, then on your turn you often just stand still and shoot once. Outside of combat, there’s a lot of running back and forth which gets quite tedious too. I guess I had more patience twenty five years ago than I do now…

ArbitraryValue,

The crate apparently had a “windshield”. I’m a dog lover, but I’m prepared to believe that Romney’s dog was OK with travelling like that. I’m not saying that every dog would be OK with it, but I trust him to know his own dog. I mean, my dog would watch fireworks shows with me. Most other dogs would probably hate doing that, but that doesn’t mean that I was somehow abusing my dog by bringing him with me.

The Tech Robber Baron who wants to take over San Francisco (newrepublic.com)

Balaji, a 43-year-old Long Island native who goes by his first name, has a solid Valley pedigree: He earned multiple degrees from Stanford University, founded multiple startups, became a partner at Andreessen-Horowitz and then served as chief technology officer at Coinbase. He is also the leader of a cultish and increasingly...

ArbitraryValue,

My impression is that some tech workers in the Bay Area are growing increasingly frustrated with the way the government runs the place. They often come from a liberal background, but the phrase I’ve heard is that if you want to convince someone to be a Republican, you should have him live in San Francisco. (The majority of people in San Francisco still vote for Democrats, but I suppose the “someone” in that phrase is specifically a tech worker.) They have a point - the last time I was there, I was at a wedding that was interrupted by the sounds of exploding propane cylinders from a nearby homeless encampment which was on fire. San Francisco is surprisingly unpleasant for them given how wealthy it is and surprisingly hostile to them given how much of that wealth comes from tech. These tech workers are also often opposed to the Democrats’ emphasis on equity, which they see as an attack on meritocracy.

Meanwhile, for someone who works in tech and is successful, the way that a tech company is run has better results: the environment is pleasant and safe, the pay is great, and management is respectful. There appears to be a lot to gain if tech can run the city for the benefit of tech.

ArbitraryValue,

I’ve worked in tech (but not in the Bay Area) for over ten years and what I say has been my own experience. I’m not claiming that every tech job is great, but good programmers are in such high demand that there’s no reason for one of them to settle for less.

ArbitraryValue, (edited )

I’ve gotten laid off myself before. It was disappointing but not a major financial setback - I had been getting paid enough that I could then live comfortably on my savings until I found a new job. I think that overall, as long as tech companies keep making those even bigger profits, tech workers will be doing well.

ArbitraryValue,

Is this unusual? I thought wild-caught fish often (usually?) had parasitic worms in it, and that they were generally not dangerous to humans, at least as long as the fish was cooked. There’s a video I saw, which I don’t suggest looking up, in which a chef explains that he knows the fish is fresh if the worms are still moving.

ArbitraryValue,

My understanding is that he’s denying that he was the one who had the documents altered.

ArbitraryValue,

Developing better weapons doesn’t make someone a bad guy, but I don’t want the bad guys (and of course I’m picking a side, I live in the USA and I like it here) to develop better weapons. If the USA and its allies succeed while its opponents fail, that would be great!

ArbitraryValue,

You’d better not have a particularly vivid imagination or else you’ll be prosecuted for daydreaming.

ArbitraryValue,

calls himself a predator

van isn’t windowless

I can’t even.

ArbitraryValue,

If Tourette’s involves a compulsion to say socially inappropriate things, what happens if those things don’t turn out to be socially inappropriate? Does the compulsion switch to something else? Does it fade?

ArbitraryValue,

Wow, that’s pretty bad, since people tend to assume paternity tests are infallible. I’m surprised they aren’t more regulated in Canada. (Are they more regulated in the USA?)

Also I can see how a poor test would give false negatives, but how would there be false positives unless someone at the company was just making things up?

Helldivers 2’s Politics Appear To Be Flying Over The Heads Of Some (www.forbes.com)

There is currently a very funny, kind of sad dust-up over Helldivers 2, in which self-proclaimed “anti-woke” gamers have previously heralded it as a rare game where they believe “politics” does not play a factor. Their faith was been shaken by an Arrowhead community manager they believed they found to be (gasp)...

ArbitraryValue,

Because people disagree about whether a certain ideology is desirable, you could have an accurate portrayal of it accepted as positive by its supporters and negative by its opponents. The supporters aren’t necessarily missing “satire” - maybe they see the same thing that the opponents do, but they like it.

ArbitraryValue,

I figure the title is meant to be interpreted as “D’Artagnan and the Three Musketeers”. He’s the main character and the book is about his adventures with them. What does bother me is the total lack of muskets.

ArbitraryValue,

I’m sorry, Dave. I’m afraid I can’t do that.

ArbitraryValue,

Given the context of a certain other person accused of financial crimes… Average real-estate over-valuation fan vs. average tax-evasion enjoyer.

ArbitraryValue,

I’m pretty sure Putin also thinks that Ukraine had nothing to do with it.

ArbitraryValue,

https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/3975568b-5861-4a56-909a-a083278bf28e.png

It’s show-accurate, for those wondering. At one point, Pinkie Pie makes a bunch of magical clones of herself, but they’re really annoying so her friend Twilight Sparkle pops them like balloons. It’s OK though, the original Pinkie Pie survives. (Probably.)

ArbitraryValue,

Note that this is not a decision that the law is constitutional.

[The decision] means the law can go into effect while litigation continues in lower courts. It could still be blocked at a later date.

ArbitraryValue,

I think that some of the arguments Texas is making are silly but the overall reasoning isn’t ridiculous. State law can’t forbid people to enter who are allowed to enter by federal law (or allow people to enter who are forbidden to enter by federal law) but I don’t see any clear constitutional reason why a state cannot enforce a state law against someone entering in violation of federal law. The federal government still has ultimate authority; it just needs to exercise it by changing the law rather than by failing to enforce existing law.

And, as a practical matter, letting Texas do this may be a way of addressing an issue voters care a lot about while bypassing both obstructionist Republicans in Congress and Democratic activists.

ArbitraryValue,

Every law is potentially unconstitutional until the Supreme Court says is isn’t. Here the court is just saying that this particular law isn’t so obviously and extremely unconstitutional that the ordinary process of appeals ought to be bypassed.

(I happen to think that the law is probably constitutional so IMO the Supreme Court is being reasonable, but I’m not a lawyer…)

ArbitraryValue,

Can someone more familiar with the precedent help me understand this case? It seems pretty clear that federal immigration law preempts any contradictory state law, but in this case the state law apparently does not contradict federal law. (Or is that not so?) Does the existence of the federal law prevent the state from enforcing even a compatible state law? Or does the exercise of discretion by the federal government regarding the manner in which federal law is enforced preempt a state from choosing to prosecute someone for violating state law if the federal government chose not to prosecute that person for violating an identical federal law?

ArbitraryValue,

The Times/Siena poll also somehow comes up with 12 percent support among Democrats for Rep. Dean Phillips, who has yet to get more than two percent of the vote in a primary. Even Phillips himself posted a tweet that said “When the NYT/Siena poll shows me at 12%, you better believe it’s flawed. Only 5% even know who I am.”

It’s like in those ninja movies where the guy stabs his sword through himself in order to kill someone behind him.

ArbitraryValue,

I don’t think there’s a conspiracy at the NYT, at least because they’re never going to pass as a conservative organization. Pessimism about Biden won’t change that.

My guess is that, like many people, they’re panicking in slow motion. It’s hard to maintain your composure when you think your nation and your way of life are seriously threatened, but then things look worse when you panic.

ArbitraryValue,

I think if you define mainstream Democrats as center-right, then by that standard the NYT would indeed be a conservative organization. However, that’s beside the point - even if you call it conservative, it’s still clearly an organization that does not support Trump. Some doom-and-gloom about Biden won’t change that reputation, especially since he’ll get their official endorsement. (They haven’t endorsed a Republican presidential candidate since Eisenhower in 1956.)

ArbitraryValue, (edited )

If you accept the Hamas claim that

The Gaza authorities’ last demographic breakdown from 29 February indicated more than 70% of those killed had been women and children.

but you also think that Israel is getting its 2:1 value by counting corpses rather than by just making it up, that would imply that they’re counting all dead men (and 5% of dead women and children) as Hamas fighters.

However, given that approximately half of the population of Gaza is under 18, 70% would imply that over 93% of Palestinian casualties are civilians (based on the assumption that adult men make up 100% of Hamas fighters but only 25% of the civilian population). That’s 14 civilians killed for every fighter, more than twice as bad as the Russian siege of Mariupol. I don’t believe this because (1) it doesn’t correspond to the level of destruction we’re seeing, (2) I think Biden would act very differently if it were true, and (3) Hamas has a great deal of motivation to lie.

If Israel were killing literally everyone, women and children would be 75% of the dead. This is what Hamas is saying when they say “more than 70%”. I think it’s absolutely ridiculous but it’s what some people apparently believe and what the Western media reports uncritically.

Note that if if we accept the 2:1 casualty ratio Israel claims but believe they’re counting dead Hamas fighters completely accurately, that would mean 50% of casualties would be women and children and 17% of the casualties would be civilian men. If we think Israel is also exaggerating, then 7500 Hamas fighters killed, a 3:1 casualty ratio (pretty bad but not necessarily unjustifiable) would mean 56% of the casualties would be women and children and 19% would be civilian men. So I think the true fraction of women and children among the dead is somewhere between 50% and 56%.

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