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MxM111

@MxM111@kbin.social

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MxM111,
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Move where? If not Biden, then Trump this election.

MxM111,
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Biden withhold and still withholding bombs. I am actually not sure if it is wise decision in terms of civilian casualties - I am not sure where more civilians will die - with precision bombing and ground attack or just ground attack (supported by tanks and artillery).

MxM111,
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It is not 2000 pounds, it is “up to 2000”.

MxM111,
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It is up to, not just 2000 pounds.

MxM111,
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Add Homeworld to “game successfully enshitified” ever growing list.

Secret Hamas Files Show How It Spied on Everyday Palestinians (www.nytimes.com)

The Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar has for years overseen a secret police force in Gaza that conducted surveillance on everyday Palestinians and built files on young people, journalists and those who questioned the government, according to intelligence officials and a trove of internal documents reviewed by The New York Times....

MxM111,
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When people shout “Free Palestine” they conveniently forget that if there is no check on Hamas, and if Hamas achieves its goal (and destroys Israel and its population), there would be tyrannical Islamist theocracy in its place. I do not know if there is better way to remove Hamas, I am not a military specialist. Biden advocates for precision strikes, but it might be just the election year maneuvering. But I know for sure, that Palestinians will not be free with Hamas in power. And if Israel lives situation as is and removes its troops, the same thing will be repeated again in future with blood on all sides.

MxM111,
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And they say dementia is not contagious…

MxM111,
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But whom Lector is going to eat then, if there are no illegal immigrants? Did you think of that Mr. Trump?

MxM111,
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This is like early versions of LLMs hallucinating.

EDIT: I feel I need to apologize to LLMs for this comparison.

MxM111,
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They stole the rubber duck from truckers. That won’t end well.

MxM111,
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I was talking about the symbol.

MxM111,
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Just checking if you watched the movie convoy which I was referencing.

MxM111,
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Because he has such power that he could create an obvious insanity by convincing at least half of the population that it is good.

MxM111,
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Or because it’s green? We will never know.

MxM111,
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I think it is more important to establish which door is which, than who likes which butts.

This can be achieved by asking
“Which door your brother point to if I ask him to point the door with the death?” The death will be behind the other door.

But if butts are more important for you, you can modify the question to ask about butts.

MxM111,
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Found a butt person!

MxM111,
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That’s because of the worm, right?

MxM111,
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Same as physicist measuring interval in special relativity. And I am talking about the bottom picture.

MxM111,
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You need filibuster proof majority for that one.

MxM111,
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That’s not my interpretation of the article.

MxM111,
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You are confirming the validity of Israeli actions against Hamas.

MxM111,
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Think. Seriously.

MxM111,
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70 Wh/Kg is indeed very low density comparing with today’s li-ion 300 Wh/kg.

MxM111,
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What if I do not have PlayStation account (I do not have PlayStation and never had)

MxM111,
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Are you sure this is not true? Are you?

MxM111,
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And yet they elect this government again and again… how many years Bibi is in power?

MxM111,
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Well, Israel is a democracy, Russia is not (mass media is controlled by the state, real opposition is either killed or in exile, and so on).

MxM111,
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Did you just seriously stated that US is as democratic as Russia?

MxM111,
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It is multi-party system. Keeping Bibi in power does not mean voting for Likud, but for right-wing parties.

MxM111,
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Of course. Just majority. For many years. Maybe this war will change things... maybe not.

MxM111,
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That’s why he had to become a politician. People just thought he was lying! But for politicians it is expected.

MxM111,
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Interesting. These days I receive many more text spams (on messages, telegram, whatsup etc.) than call spams. I think my provider and my phone block call spams successfully.

US intelligence believes Putin probably didn't order Navalny to be killed, Wall Street Journal reports (www.reuters.com)

Last month, Putin called Navalny's demise "sad" and said he had been ready to hand the jailed politician over to the West in a prisoner exchange provided Navalny never return to Russia. Navalny's allies said such talks had been under way [...] Washington had not absolved the Russian leader of overall responsibility for Navalny's...

MxM111,
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Assuming that what WSJ reported is indeed true, that it is widely accepted hypotheses within intelligence community (Reuters could not verify they).
What and how intelligence community would know that? By the fact that someone was talking about exchange? And this preclude Putin from ordering execution before elections how? I actually do not believe that this “intelligence community” is that stupid to hold it as “wildly held belief”. That’s bad WSJ reporting.
What else do we know? That Russian officials deny that? The same officials that denied presence of Russian military when they captured Crimea? If anything, them denying from the first day shows opposite situation. Normally, one would investigate it, but it is as if they knew the answer from day 1.

MxM111,
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Since when listening to black voters is racist?

MxM111,
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Yes, but they look like one too.

MxM111,
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The Russia’s military budget is not quite clear, but for 2024 the most cited number I see is $140B. ~2.5 times larger than this bill. If we include the fact that purchase parity would adjust this to even larger difference, on can see that at this point of funding Ukraine can think only about maintaining status quo at best.

MxM111,
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To be fair, these are missiles too.

MxM111,
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Ukraine defense spending in 2024 is $40B. It is not easy to find total number from all EU countries, but historically they give significantly less for military spending for Ukraine. There is big 50B package from EU, but it is mostly economical and over 4 years. But let me overestimate and suggest 20B as military aid for Ukraine. All together is $120B and is still less than what Russia spends and it is before accounting for purchasing parity. US, and especially EU countries should significantly increase military help for Ukraine to push back. And while EU countries increased military spending it is just not enough.

MxM111,
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US won Iraq war militarily well before it spend even half a trillion. US failed at reconstruction.

MxM111,
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Yes, and they can afford it.

I think the best pro-Ukraine victory (as opposed to stalemate) argument is that Ukraine gets Western munition, which is higher quality. So single dollar gets more. This at least partly compensates purchasing (in)parity.

MxM111,
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Hey, leave the last one for Catholic Church.

MxM111,
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Also, northern Vietnam had support from greater powers in munitions and training (USSR, China). So, indeed, very analogous situation. Also USSR had its own adventure in Afghanistan. With the same analogy where now US supported … aghmm… Talibans and Al-Qaeda .

MxM111,
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It is 1/sqrt(1000), which I think is std or close to it

MxM111,
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Why don’t you educate me? This is for sure not 95% confidence interval nor 3 sigma. This might be 80% but this is close enough to one sigma.

The reason why I said it is std, is because suppose that you have a single person instead of 1000. If we expect the actual numbers to be about 50% for Biden or Trump, then with one person you get 100% or 0%, which is +/-50% error over 50% median. Which gives std of 1. After that, std decreases as 1/sqrt(1000).

I understand that I might miss there small factors, but I could not be that far from correct answer. Where do I went wrong?

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